Home Prices Up 3.6% In April
CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX) reported Tuesday that home prices in April rose nationally by 3.6% from April 2018 and 1% from March, according to the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI™) and HPI Forecast™.
Looking ahead, after several months of moderation in early 2019, the CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates home prices will begin to pick up and increase by 4.7% from April 2019 to April 2020. On a month-over-month basis, home prices are expected to decrease by 0.3% from April 2019 to May 2019.
According to the CoreLogic Market Condition Indicators (MCI), an analysis of housing values in the country’s 100 largest metropolitan areas based on housing stock, 37% of metropolitan areas had an overvalued housing market as of April 2019. The MCI analysis categorizes home prices in individual markets as undervalued, at value or overvalued, by comparing home prices to their long-run, sustainable levels, which are supported by local market fundamentals such as disposable income. As of April 2019, 26% of the top 100 metropolitan areas were undervalued, and 37% were at value.
When looking at only the top 50 markets based on housing stock, 42% were overvalued, 16% were undervalued and 42% were at value. The MCI analysis defines an overvalued housing market as one in which home prices are at least 10% above the long-term, sustainable level. An undervalued housing market is one in which home prices are at least 10% below the sustainable level.
During the first quarter of 2019, CoreLogic, together with RTi Research of Norwalk, Connecticut, conducted an extensive survey measuring consumer-housing sentiment in high-priced markets. Eight in 10 residents in high-priced markets said home prices have continued to climb over the past three years and are still rising, although more moderately. The impact of continued price increases means new homeowners had to make compromises when purchasing. As many as 40% of respondents indicated they could not buy a home in their preferred area, and a third felt they had to purchase a smaller home than they desired.